Download PDF Spring Bridge on AI: Promises and Risks April 15, 2025 Volume 55 Issue 1 This issue of The Bridge features fresh perspectives on artificial intelligence’s promises and risks from thought leaders across industry and academia. Invisible Bridges Ports, Politics, and Peace: The Engineering of Stability Thursday, April 10, 2025 Author: Guru Madhavan Civilizations don’t rise and fall by the sword alone. They are shaped—or shattered—by the infrastructure that anchors their networks. Infrastructure can foster peace and stability, but history shows it has also been a medium for influence. India’s ancient ports made this clear: The sea wasn’t just a barrier but a conduit for empires to expand, where mutual exchange and leverage coexisted.1 On Tamil Nadu’s Coromandel Coast, Poompuhar (Kaveripoompattinam) flourished as a major port during the Sangam era (300 BCE to 300 CE). More than a trading hub, it was an engineered enclave of commerce, culture, and command, part of a maritime meshwork that linked South India to distant shores, weaving coastal economies into vast trade routes. Under early Tamil dynasties and later the Cholas, Poompuhar thrived. Its layout reflected a hierarchy—fisherfolk and artisans worked by the shore, while merchants and rulers governed from inland quarters. Warehouses lined the waterfront, their goods marked with official seals, signaling a sophisticated regulatory system. A towering lighthouse beamed both welcome and watchfulness, ensuring commerce flourished—but on Chola terms. Tamil epics recount bustling ports where foreign merchants conducted business under local oversight, illustrating how infrastructure served as an economic enabler and an instrument of political control. Nature, however, rewrote the script. As rising seas consumed Poompuhar in the early centuries CE, the Cholas turned their gaze southward. Over time, Nagapattinam’s deep harbor positioned it as the region’s dominant port, and by the medieval era, it had become a thriving nexus of commercial and cultural exchange. At its heart stood the Chudamani Vihara, a Buddhist monastery built in the 11th century with support from the Srivijaya empire of present-day Indonesia. Its soaring spires welcomed mariners from across the Bay, while its halls hosted monks from Sri Lanka, China, and Southeast Asia, reinforcing Nagapattinam’s role as both a crossroads and a conduit of Tamil reach—which flowed not just through fleets but through ideas and institutions. The Chola-Srivijaya partnership wasn’t merely symbolic—it deepened regional stability through shared infrastructure and interconnected trade routes. Today, infrastructure shapes global leverage, forging interdependence in ways both subtle and stark. The Greater Mekong subregion’s power grid synchronizes economies, yet its benefits remain unevenly distributed. Once divided by water disputes, Thailand and Laos now exchange electricity, intertwining their energy needs and reinforcing cooperation through both politics and engineering. Similarly, the Trans-Asian Railway stitches together China, Laos, and Europe, turning old frontiers into transit corridors. But mismatched rail gauges and aging networks still pose hurdles, proving that infrastructure is as much about negotiation as construction. Water itself has become a medium of diplomacy. The Indus Waters Treaty shows how engineering details can turn potential competing interests into cooperation. When Pakistan challenged India’s Kishanganga hydroelectric project in 2010, the resolution didn’t come through political posturing but through numerical negotiations—flow rates, reservoir capacities, and power generation schedules. Today, hydroelectric projects threading the Chenab and Jhelum rivers continue this approach, demonstrating that stability is often engineered, not just brokered. Such agreements depend not only on political will but on the technical infrastructure that makes cooperation possible—dams, grids, servers, and satellites. In the South China Sea, key ports reinforce sovereign claims. Radar stations track naval movements. Deep-draft harbors accommodate warships and cargo vessels alike. Despite territorial disputes, commerce flows through shared shipping routes, standardized navigation systems, and cooperative security measures. As with Poompuhar, infrastructure anchors both strategic presence and partnership. China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) takes this further. While some projects in Pakistan have faced setbacks, the Jakarta-Bandung rail and Laos-China railway demonstrate successful partnerships. Beyond construction, these projects entrench long-term economic ties through maintenance agreements, operational protocols, and financial dependencies. Through the BRI, China transforms trade routes into economic strongholds during a pivotal period of regional competition. Similarly, as Arctic ice recedes, the Northern Sea Route and Transpolar Sea Route are redrawing access, with Russia expanding northern ports and deploying nuclear icebreakers to establish year-round control. Just as shifting coastlines altered Poompuhar’s fate, these changing pathways and corridors determine not just the patterns of collaboration, but the distribution of regional leverage. Infrastructure dictates far more than logistics in Southeast Asia. The Johor-Singapore Causeway, for instance, does more than move traffic—emergency response teams share protocols, logistics systems operate in sync, and border controls function as one. Singapore’s Tuas Port embodies this precision, an automated marvel built for speed and scale. AI-powered cranes hoist containers with precision, autonomous vehicles zip across the docks, and intelligent berthing systems orchestrate seamless arrivals, handling 10 million shipping containers, or twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs), since the start of operations in 2022, with new capabilities to handle 65 million TEUs when fully operational in the 2040s, making it the world’s largest automated port. Every transnational project—whether a railway in Africa, an airport in Asia, or a data corridor in the Americas—rescripts influence without a single shot fired. Like South India’s ancient ports, these choices outlast rulers and regimes, binding nations through networks of mutual reliance. Peace and geopolitical stability aren’t just diplomatic achievements; they are engineered, and infrastructure is often the stabilizer that endures—even outlives—shifting alliances. 1This piece was previously published by the Asian Peace Programme of the Asia Research Institute at the National University of Singapore and in The Straits Times (Singapore) on March 6, 2025. Thanks to Ambassador Kishore Mahbubani for inspiring and inviting this perspective. About the Author:Guru Madhavan is the Norman R. Augustine Senior Scholar and senior director of programs at the NAE.